The threat to the Port Talbot production facilities in 2016
was one of the first topics I tackled on this blog.
Indeed, this blog is partially motivated by concerns that successive
governments’ adherence to the untrammelled operation of free markets results in
market failures that have wider social consequences. It is not just me who
expresses such concerns. Whatever else people may not like about the Labour
Party’s economic policy (and there is a lot to dislike) the electorate does
like the idea of renationalising industries such as the rail network. One
reason for this is that the electorate is opposed to the idea of private
investors creaming off monopoly profits whilst walking away from their
obligations if events do not run as planned (as happened on one of the country’s main rail routes in late 2017).
People also do not like the fact that markets fail to
adequately price the non-financial costs associated with industrial
restructuring. Whilst the costs associated with any job losses in Scunthorpe
and other towns are of no direct concern to British Steel, they are a huge
problem for the local community suggesting an unequal distribution of the costs
and benefits associated with closing down the plant. However, this alone is not
enough to justify nationalising the steel industry.
A much better case can be made that industries such as steel
represent industries of strategic national interest where the economy has an
interest in ensuring that the skillset embodied in the industry can be
maintained. An example of why it may pay to retain the skillset is provided by
the construction of the controversial Hinkley Point power station: The
government claimed that since the UK has not built any nuclear power stations
in thirty years, the skills required to build the station could not be found in
the UK, forcing it to turn to a state-owned French company to supply the
reactor. The steel industry is more than just about turning out metal rods –
some very complex metallurgy is involved in making some of the high-spec alloys
required in advanced industrial applications. The issue facing the UK is
whether it wants to remain involved in this business or whether it is prepared
to outsource it to foreign suppliers.
This highlights two of the concerns I expressed three years
ago: First, the government’s repeated policy of non-interference in corporate
actions means that the decisions which affect people’s lives will increasingly
be taken outside the UK. In addition it raises the question whether countries
like the UK can continue to rely on the stability of the international order to
ensure that it will always be able to source its needs from foreign suppliers.
If we have learned anything since 2016 it is that the global order is anything
but stable, as the likes of Donald Trump continue to rip up the rule book.
Indeed, steel was one of the first product groups to be hit by higher tariffs
as the US introduced a 25% levy on imports. But it is China that has disrupted
the global steel market, having produced more steel in the last two years than
the UK has done in its entire history (see chart for data covering the last
three decades). Ironically Mao Zedong’s stated aim in the 1950s was merely to
boost annual Chinese steel output above that of Britain’s – things have moved
on a long way since then.
Clearly the UK, nor indeed any European country, can compete
with this kind of industrial muscle which suggests that if governments want to
retain the industrial skills inherent in the steel industry, the state may have
to play a bigger role. This does not necessarily mean that steel-making
facilities should be directly taken under state control. But efforts to relieve
some of the industry’s burden in the form of lower business rates or energy
costs are measures that might need to be considered. Environmental issues are a
further complicating factor – indeed, British Steel has already been loaned a
considerable amount of money by the government to pay an EU bill for its carbon
emissions. Environmentalists would say that this is not an industry that we need
to save but the people of Scunthorpe may have a different view.
We also cannot ignore the fact that British Steel’s current
woes have been hugely exacerbated by Brexit, and Brexit-related uncertainty is
blamed for a significant drop in orders. The good people of Scunthorpe voted
2-1 in favour of Brexit so it is highly ironic that the policy they voted for
looks set to impose significant harm on the local economy. Moreover, one of the
reasons cited by the UK government for not providing additional finance is that
it does not want to fall foul of EU state aid rules.
But even if the UK were to leave the EU, it is doubtful that it would stump up
to support British Steel, since the bills would start to run up very quickly if
every region that suffered as a result of Brexit were to receive public support.
This leaves the steel industry between a rock and a hard
place. There is a good case for state intervention to support an industry of
critical national importance and there is also an environmental case for
letting it go. But since the problems have been exacerbated by Brexit, with the
result that British Steel’s overseas customers do not know what tariffs will
apply to any steel they buy – nor indeed when the UK will leave the EU – and to
the extent that this has been exacerbated by the government’s indecision, there
is a stronger case for support from the public purse. Having seen at first-hand what
deindustrialisation did to the part of the world where I grew up, I understand
the fears of the local community – and they are right to be afraid.