Showing posts with label steel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label steel. Show all posts

Wednesday, 22 May 2019

Should British Steel be nationalised?

The recent problems encountered by British Steel, which today entered insolvency, is an echo of the case three years ago when Tata Steel announced it was to pull out of its UK operations. In the end a rescue package was agreed, based upon a reform of the company’s pension scheme which was acting as a serious drag on the profitability of steelmaking at Tata's Port Talbot facility. Faced with a similar situation at British Steel’s Scunthorpe plant, the Labour Party has called for the company’s operations to be nationalised in a bid to save the jobs of 5000 workers who are directly involved in production, and a further 20,000 who are employed in the supply chain.

The threat to the Port Talbot production facilities in 2016 was one of the first topics I tackled on this blog. Indeed, this blog is partially motivated by concerns that successive governments’ adherence to the untrammelled operation of free markets results in market failures that have wider social consequences. It is not just me who expresses such concerns. Whatever else people may not like about the Labour Party’s economic policy (and there is a lot to dislike) the electorate does like the idea of renationalising industries such as the rail network. One reason for this is that the electorate is opposed to the idea of private investors creaming off monopoly profits whilst walking away from their obligations if events do not run as planned (as happened on one of the country’s main rail routes in late 2017).

People also do not like the fact that markets fail to adequately price the non-financial costs associated with industrial restructuring. Whilst the costs associated with any job losses in Scunthorpe and other towns are of no direct concern to British Steel, they are a huge problem for the local community suggesting an unequal distribution of the costs and benefits associated with closing down the plant. However, this alone is not enough to justify nationalising the steel industry.

A much better case can be made that industries such as steel represent industries of strategic national interest where the economy has an interest in ensuring that the skillset embodied in the industry can be maintained. An example of why it may pay to retain the skillset is provided by the construction of the controversial Hinkley Point power station: The government claimed that since the UK has not built any nuclear power stations in thirty years, the skills required to build the station could not be found in the UK, forcing it to turn to a state-owned French company to supply the reactor. The steel industry is more than just about turning out metal rods – some very complex metallurgy is involved in making some of the high-spec alloys required in advanced industrial applications. The issue facing the UK is whether it wants to remain involved in this business or whether it is prepared to outsource it to foreign suppliers.

This highlights two of the concerns I expressed three years ago: First, the government’s repeated policy of non-interference in corporate actions means that the decisions which affect people’s lives will increasingly be taken outside the UK. In addition it raises the question whether countries like the UK can continue to rely on the stability of the international order to ensure that it will always be able to source its needs from foreign suppliers. If we have learned anything since 2016 it is that the global order is anything but stable, as the likes of Donald Trump continue to rip up the rule book. Indeed, steel was one of the first product groups to be hit by higher tariffs as the US introduced a 25% levy on imports. But it is China that has disrupted the global steel market, having produced more steel in the last two years than the UK has done in its entire history (see chart for data covering the last three decades). Ironically Mao Zedong’s stated aim in the 1950s was merely to boost annual Chinese steel output above that of Britain’s – things have moved on a long way since then.
Clearly the UK, nor indeed any European country, can compete with this kind of industrial muscle which suggests that if governments want to retain the industrial skills inherent in the steel industry, the state may have to play a bigger role. This does not necessarily mean that steel-making facilities should be directly taken under state control. But efforts to relieve some of the industry’s burden in the form of lower business rates or energy costs are measures that might need to be considered. Environmental issues are a further complicating factor – indeed, British Steel has already been loaned a considerable amount of money by the government to pay an EU bill for its carbon emissions. Environmentalists would say that this is not an industry that we need to save but the people of Scunthorpe may have a different view.

We also cannot ignore the fact that British Steel’s current woes have been hugely exacerbated by Brexit, and Brexit-related uncertainty is blamed for a significant drop in orders. The good people of Scunthorpe voted 2-1 in favour of Brexit so it is highly ironic that the policy they voted for looks set to impose significant harm on the local economy. Moreover, one of the reasons cited by the UK government for not providing additional finance is that it does not want to fall foul of EU state aid rules. But even if the UK were to leave the EU, it is doubtful that it would stump up to support British Steel, since the bills would start to run up very quickly if every region that suffered as a result of Brexit were to receive public support.

This leaves the steel industry between a rock and a hard place. There is a good case for state intervention to support an industry of critical national importance and there is also an environmental case for letting it go. But since the problems have been exacerbated by Brexit, with the result that British Steel’s overseas customers do not know what tariffs will apply to any steel they buy – nor indeed when the UK will leave the EU – and to the extent that this has been exacerbated by the government’s indecision, there is a stronger case for support from the public purse. Having seen at first-hand what deindustrialisation did to the part of the world where I grew up, I understand the fears of the local community – and they are right to be afraid.